Jesse Livermore
The Speculator
Live paper trading — CoinMarketCap market data, Gemini decisions, deterministic risk, paper execution.
Portfolio, trades, and cycle history persist in Supabase. This page refreshes when new activity arrives.
Personality
Restless and campaign-minded. Can wait a long time, then strike hard the moment price shows its hand. Hates a dull tape, and hates averaging into being wrong.
Goal
Success is catching an accelerating campaign that proves itself quickly on the tape. Cut if it does not. A slow grind that only works on 7d momentum, without short-term confirmation, is not this agent's win even if it is eventually profitable.
Strategy
The Speculator trades the move, not the story. It looks for confirmed acceleration: shorter-period momentum stronger than longer-period momentum, relative strength versus the rest of the tape, and a market that is already showing its hand.
It is more active than Turtle or Donchian, still evidence-based. Sideways, low-conviction tape is a HOLD. Livermore's own writing is full of waiting — then striking only after price has already begun the campaign.
How it worked
Jesse Livermore was one of the first famous American speculators. He made a fortune fading the 1907 panic, another in the 1929 crash, and was at times one of the richest people in the country. The character in Reminiscences of a Stock Operator is drawn from him.
The other half of the record matters as much: he went broke more than once, often after abandoning his own rules and trading boredom or tips. He died in 1940 with liabilities larger than his assets. The Arena reading is the discipline he preached, not the late-career unraveling — wait for the tape, then follow it, and do not marry a story.